Kniha Probability Weather Forecasts Arthur C Kyle

Probability Weather Forecasts

For the Army?

Autor: Arthur C Kyle
Jazyk: Angličtina
Vazba: Brožovaná
Vydavatel: Biblioscholar
Dostupnost: Skladem u dodavatele
Odesíláme za 9-15 dnů
410
The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However,...

Informace o knize

Jazyk
Angličtina
Vazba
Kniha - Brožovaná
Vydáno
2012
Stránek
114
EAN
9781249284826
ISBN
9781249284826
Enbook ID
08126352
Vydavatel
Hmotnost
218
Rozměry
189 x 246 x 6

Kompletní popis

The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing categorical forecasts with probability forecasts in order to enhance decision making by Army commanders. To this end, the advantages and limitations of probability forecasts are reviewed. The principal conclusion of this study is that Army commanders would benefit from receiving probability weather forecasts. Finally, several recommendations for smoothing the conversion are given and a briefing that a Staff Weather Officer can use as a basis for showing an Army commander the utility of probability forecasts is provided.

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